QLS guest webinar - Tuesday, 21 April

[qls at ictp.it]

Dear All,
On Tuesday, 21  April at 15h00 Dylan H. Morris (Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Princeton)
will give a webinar titled "Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control"

Abstract:
The COVID-19  pandemic  has  highlighted  the  need  for  controlmeasures  that  reduce  the epidemic peak ("flattening the curve").
Here we derive the optimal time-limited intervention for reducing peak epidemic prevalence in the standard Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model. We show that alternative,  more practical interventions can perform nearly as well as the provably optimal strategy.  However, none of these strategies are robust to implementation errors:  mistiming the start of the intervention by even a single week can be enormously costly,  for realistic epidemic parameters.  Sustained control measures,  though less effcient than optimal and near-optimal time-limited interventions, can be used in combination with time-limited strategies to mitigate the
catastrophic risks of mistiming.
  

Here is the Zoom meeting ID to attend the online seminar:
Meeting ID: 475-819-702
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/475819702

Indico webpage:http://indico.ictp.it/event/9349/ <http://indico.ictp.it/event/9350/>




Kind regards,

Erica