GEOPHYSICS SEMINAR
Earth System Physics Section
esp at ictp.it
Thu Dec 1 16:46:21 CET 2022
ESP GEOPHYSICS SEMINAR
LIVE and on Zoom
Monday, 5 December, 11:00 am
Euler Lecture Hall, ICTP Leonardo Building
Richard Walker
Dept. of Earth Sciences
University of Oxford, UK
on Sabbatical at ICTP, Geophysics group
THE EARTHQUAKE RUPTURES OF IRAN AND CENTRAL ASIA
The last century has seen unprecedented urban growth in regions of
earthquake hazard within the continents*.*In contrast to plate
boundaries, where earthquake hazard is usually confined to narrow zones
around the edges of the oceans, active faulting within continental
interiors is spread across very wide regions,and with intervals of
hundreds, or even thousands of years between large earthquakes in any
one area. The long recurrence intervals pose challenges for
identification of active faults, and the small database of recent large
earthquakes limits our understanding of fault rupture processes in such
regions.There is a growing realisation that active faults deep within
continental interiors behave in ways that are unexpected given the
present understanding of global earthquakes and fault rupture. Tectonic
motions in continental interiors are accommodated across diffuse
networks of faults, and the occurrence of large earthquakes over
historical times suggests that they may be clustered in particular
regions at particular times, and may have complex multi-fault sources.
These factors have profound implications for the applicability of
established scaling relationships to estimate future magnitude, as
earthquakes could be significantly larger than expected for a given
fault length.
Iran and central Asia offer a natural laboratory for the study of plate
interior earthquake occurrence, due to the relatively large number of
events, the long historical and archaeological records, and the pristine
environment that allows identification and study of earthquake ruptures
far into prehistory. In this presentation I describe ongoing efforts to
build an understanding of the sources of major earthquakes that have
occurred in past centuries and millennia. Particular focus is placed on
a number of large earthquakes that occurred within the early to mid
20^th century, which offer a bridge between the interpretation of
modern and historic seismicity. We bring together elements of
seismology, remote sensing, field geology, and quaternary dating to
probe the rare, but potentially devastating occurrence of the largest
earthquakes across the Asian interior.
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