SMR1672 - Programme

Thu Mar 9 12:38:07 CET 2006

Workshop on the Organization and Maintenance of Tropical Convection and 
the Madden
Julian Oscillation
Cosponsor(s): the Observing System Research and Predictability 
Experiment (THORPEX), the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)
Organizer(s): J. Slingo, F. Molteni, M. Moncrieff, M. Shapiro
Trieste - Italy, 13 - 17 March 2006
AGH (KLH)

Programme

Monday, 13 March 2006 (Room:Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall)
08:30 - 09:15 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1))
--- REGISTRATION ---
09:15 - 10:00 OPENING
Welcome / Workshop objectives (J. Slingo - CGAM, Univ. Reading, UK) 15'
THORPEX/WCRP interactions (M. Shapiro - NCAR, UCAR, USA) 10'
Tropical convection: a new era (M. Moncrieff - NCAR, UCAR, USA) 10'
Organizational aspects (F. Molteni - ICTP, Trieste, Italy) 10'
10:00 - 10:40 Chair: J. Slingo / CGAM, Univ. Reading, UK
Understanding tropical organized convection
Observations of Organized Tropical Convection (R.H. Johnson - Dept. of 
Atmospheric Science, Colorado State Univ., USA) 40'
Keynote Talk
10:40 - 11:10 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee Break ---
11:10 - 12:30 Chair: J. Slingo / CGAM, Univ. Reading, UK
Understanding tropical organized convection
Convectively coupled equatorial waves in re-analysis data (B. Hoskins - 
Dept. of Meteorology, Univ. Reading, UK) 40'
Keynote Talk
Thoughts on the convectively-coupled wave paradox: discrepancy between 
observed and theoretical wave propagation (L. Pakula - Dept. of 
Atmospheric Science, Colorado State Univ., USA) 20'
Indo-Pacific SST perturbations associated with intraseasonal 
oscillations of the tropical convection (J. P. Duvel - Laboratoire de 
Meteorologie Dynamique, ENS, France) 20'
12:30 - 14:10 --- Lunch Break ---
14:10 - 15:30 Chair: M. Moncrieff / NCAR, UCAR, USA
Understanding the MJO: theory, explicit convection, 
super-parametrization
Fundamental Processes in the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation (B. 
Wang - Dept. of Meteorology, Univ. Hawaii, USA) 40'
Keynote Talk
Investigating the complexity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (C. Jones 
- ICESS, Univ. of California, USA) 20'
A new multi-scale model for the Madden-Julian Oscillation (A. J. Majda 
- CAOS, New York Univ., USA) 20'
15:30 - 16:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
16:00 - 17:40 Chair: M. Moncrieff / NCAR, UCAR, USA
Understanding the MJO: theory, explicit convection, 
super-parametrization
Space time variations in MJO activity using wavelet analysis (G. S. 
Bhat - CAOS, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India) 40'
Keynote Talk
Vertical structure of tropical cloud systems associated with the MJO 
(J. Haynes - Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State Univ., USA) 
20'
Spontaneous, successive and terminal Madden-Julian events (A. Matthews 
- Schools of Environmental Sciences, Univ. of East Anglia, UK) 20'
The initiation of the Madden-julian Oscillation (P. Ray - MPO/RSMAS, 
Univ. of Miami, USA) 20'
18:30 - 21:30 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Welcome Reception ---

Tuesday, 14 March 2006 (Room:Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall)
08:50 - 10:30 Chair: M. Moncrieff / NCAR, UCAR, USA
Understanding the MJO: theory, explicit convection, 
super-parametrization
Transition between suppressed and active phases of intraseasonal 
oscillations in Indo-Pacific warm pool (P. A. Agudelo - EAS, Georgia 
Institute of Technology, USA) 20'
Impact of explicit atmosphere-ocean coupling on tropical intraseasonal 
oscillations (W. W. Grabowski - NCAR, UCAR, USA) 20'
Upper-ocean response to the MJO in the Indian and Pacific Oceans from 
Argo floats (P. Singhruck - Schools of Environmental Sciences, Univ. of 
East Anglia, UK) 20'
Evaluation of the intraseasonal and interannual variability of climate 
simulated by a GCM with superparametrization (M. Khairoutdinov - Dept. 
of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State Univ., USA) 20'
A multi-scale structure of tropical convection simulated with the 
3.5-km-mesh global cloud-resolving model (M. Satoh - Center for Climate 
System Research, Univ. of Tokyo & FRCGC, JAMSTEC, Japan) 20'
10:30 - 11:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
11:00 - 12:40 Chair: M. Shapiro / NCAR, UCAR, USA
Tropical-extratropical interactions
The impact of tropical cyclones undergoing extratropical transition on 
the downstream midlatitude flow (S. Jones - Institut fuer Meteorologie 
und Klimaforschung, Univ. Karlsruhe, Germany) 40'
Keynote Talk
Intraseasonal variations in the tropical circulation and implications 
for the extratropical lower stratosphere (L. V. de Carvalho - Dept. 
Atmospheric Sciences, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil) 20'
Seasonal variation of the extratropical response to the MJO: 
observations and modelling (O. Charlesworth - Schools of Environmental 
Sciences, Univ. of East Anglia, UK) 20'
Upper-level extratropical disturbances as a driver of organized 
convection in the tropics and subtropics: The role of inertial 
instability (P. Knippertz - Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Univ. of 
Mainz, Germany) 20'
12:40 - 14:10 --- Lunch Break ---
14:10 - 15:30 Chair: J. Slingo / CGAM, Univ. Reading, UK
Intraseasonal variability and monsoons
Quadrapole Structure in Convection and Its Implications on the Asian 
Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability (H. Annamalai - IPRC/SOEST, 
Univ. of Hawaii, USA) 40'
Keynote Talk
Coupled air-sea interactions in the tropical Indian Ocean environment 
(K. K. Raghavan - Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, 
India) 20'
Intraseasonal variability of the SST in the Arabian sea during the 
Indian Monsoon (J. Vialard - LOCEAN, France) 20'
15:30 - 16:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
16:00 - 17:20 Chair: J. Slingo / CGAM, Univ. Reading, UK
Intraseasonal variability and monsoons
Intraseasonal variability of summer monsoon over the South china Sea 
(J. Mao - LASG, IAP, CAS, China) 20'
Intraseasonal variations of upper tropospheric water vapour over the 
Asian monsoon region (J. Li - LASG, IAP, CAS, China) 20'
The role of intraseasonal variability in the nature of monsoon 
precipitation (C. Hoyos - EAS, Georgia Institute of Technology, USA) 
20'
Intra-seasonal oscillations during contrasting monsoons (A. Kulkarni - 
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India) 20'

Wednesday, 15 March 2006 (Room:Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture 
Hall)
09:10 - 10:30 Organized convection and tropical variability in 
full-physics GCMs
Asian summer monsoon intraseasonal variability in ECHAM4/OPYC (K. 
Sperber - Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, USA) 40'
Keynote Talk
Research at ECMWF concerning the simulation of the Madden-Julian 
Oscillation (A. Tompkins - ECMWF, Reading, UK) 20'
Sensitivity of Unified Model tropical performance to convection 
parametrization (S. Derbyshire - Met Office, Exeter, UK) 20'
10:30 - 11:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
11:00 - 12:20 Organized convection and tropical variability in 
full-physics GCMs
Tropical Scale Interactions from a High-resolution Nested Climate Model 
(G. Holland - NCAR, UCAR, USA) 20'
Dependence of simulation of boreal summer tropical intraseasonal 
oscillations on the simulation of seasonal mean (A. M. Ravindran - 
FRCGC, JAMSTEC, Japan) 20'
Model performance in representing convectively-coupled equatorial waves 
in the Hadley Centre climate model (G. Yang - CGAM, Univ. Reading, UK) 
20'
Preliminary results of comparisons between CPTEC/COLA GCM and 
observations in terms of convectively coupled equatorial waves (Ramirez 
Gutierrez - CPTEC/INPE, Sao Paulo, Brazil) 20'
12:20 - 14:10 --- Lunch Break ---
14:10 - 15:30 Chair: F. Molteni / ICTP, Trieste, Italy
Predictability and forecasting issues
Empirical, numerical and empirical-numerical prediction of tropical 
intraseasonal variability (P. Webster - EAS, Georgia Institute of 
Technology, USA) 40'
Keynote Talk
Some predictability research objectives of THORPEX (I. Szunyogh - Dept. 
of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Univ. of Maryland, USA) 20'
Predictability and forecast issues associated with the Madden-Julian 
Oscillation (D. Waliser - JPL, California Institute of Technology, USA) 
20'
15:30 - 16:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
16:00 - 17:20 Chair: F. Molteni / ICTP, Trieste, Italy
Predictability and forecasting issues
The role of the ocean in the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Sensitivity of 
an MJO forecast to ocean coupling (S. Woolnough - CGAM, Univ. Reading, 
UK) 20'
Statistical prediction of intraseasonal climate variability (B Love - 
Schools of Environmental Sciences, Univ. of East Anglia, UK) 20'
Am ensemble approach to assess initial condition sensitivity of growing 
MJO prediction errors (S. Majumdar (given by C. Zhang) - RSMAS, Univ. 
of Miami, USA) 20'
Numerical prediction of the heavy rainfall event of 26 July 2005 over 
Mumbai: A case study using NCAR MM5 (S. Bishoyi Ratna - Department of 
Meteorology & Oceanography, Andhra Univ., India) 20'

Thursday, 16 March 2006 (Room:Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture 
Hall)
09:10 - 09:30 Chair: F. Molteni / ICTP, Trieste, Italy
Predictability and forecasting issues
Impact of high-res. modeling of organ. deep convection on Asian 
high-impact weather events and downstream predictability: preliminary 
results with GEM (G. Brunet - NPR, MSC, Canada) 20'
09:30 - 10:30 Chair: F. Molteni / ICTP, Trieste, Italy
Interactions with interannual variability and climate change
The impact of MJO and tropical weather on El Nino (M. Lengaigne - 
LOCEAN, France) 40'
Keynote Talk
Multi-scale interaction in the generation process of equatorial 
westerly wind bursts (Y. Takayabu - Center for Climate System Research, 
Univ. of Tokyo, Japan) 20'
10:30 - 11:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
11:00 - 12:00 Chair: F. Molteni / ICTP, Trieste, Italy
Interactions with interannual variability and climate change
The MJO-ENSO problem (C. Zhang - MPO/RSMAS, Univ. of Miami, USA) 40'
Impact of climate change on the intraseasonal oscillation of the Indian 
summer monsoon (K. Krishna Kumar - Indian Institute of Tropical 
Meteorology, Pune, India) 20'
12:00 - 12:30 POSTER SESSION
The VASCO-CIRENE experiment (J. P. Duvel - Laboratoire de Meteorologie 
Dynamique, ENS, France)
Red herrings in the quest for a successful MJO simulation (A. Tompkins 
- ECMWF, Reading, UK)
MJO related to the rainfall anomaly over West Sumatera, Indonesia, with 
the equatorial Atm. Radar (EAR), Boundary-layer radar (BLR) and GPCP 
data analysis (E. Hermawan - LAPAN, Indonesia)
Isotopic composition of rainfall in Sumatra island related to the MJO 
(K. Ichiyanagi - JAMSTEC, Japan)
A comprehensive study on tropical mesoscale convective systems (with 
VHF/UHF radars) (K. K. Karanam - Space Physics Laboratory, Vikram 
Sarabhai Space Center, India)
Observational strategy for diurnal to intraseasonal rainfall 
variability study over Sumatera Insland using the JEPP/GEOSS 
radar-profiler network (S. Mori - JAMSTEC, Japan)
Multi-scale organization of tropical convection simulated by a global 
non-hydrostatic model (T. Nasuno - JAMSTEC, Japan)
The effect of cumulus suppression scheme in the simulation of 
convectively-coupled equatorial waves in a GCM (T. Suzuki - JAMSTEC, 
Japan)
Upper tropospheric water vapour variations associated with the MJO over 
the Tibetan Plateau (R. Zhan - LASG, IAP, CAS, China)
12:30 - 14:10 --- Lunch Break ---
14:10 - 15:30 Break-out sessions
15:30 - 16:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
16:00 - 17:20 Break-out sessions

Friday, 17 March 2006 (Room:Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall)
09:00 - 10:30 Plenary session
10:30 - 11:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
11:00 - 12:30 Plenary session
12:30 - 14:00 --- Lunch Break ---
14:00 - 15:30 Plenary session
15:30 - 16:00 (Room: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace))
--- Coffee break ---
16:00 - 17:30 Plenary session

Nadia  van Buuren
Workshop Secretary
Workshop on the Organization and Maintenance of Tropical Convection and 
the Madden Julian Oscillation
The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics
Strada Costiera 11, I-34014 Trieste, Italy
Ph.: +39-040-2240363		Fax: +39-040-2240304
E-mail: smr1672 at ictp.it	http://agenda.ictp.it/smr.php?1672
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